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Australia - Leading demographer plays down population growth concerns

Author: JOSEPH SAPIENZA

A LEADING demographer has rubbished claims Australia’s population growth over the next 40 years will have a significant impact on its environment and living standards.

According to a demographic report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s population is growing at twice the rate of the rest of the world, after crashing through 22 million late last year.

The report shows the population grew at 2.1 per cent in the year to the end of September, outstripping the Philippines, Malaysia, India, Indonesia and Vietnam. The world population grew 1.1 per cent in the same period.

Western Australia recorded growth of 2.9 per cent.

The population also increased in NSW (1.7 per cent), Queensland (2.7 per cent), the Northern Territory at 2.3 per cent and Victoria at 2.2 per cent.

WA’s population is expected to reach 3.5 million by 2050 while Australia is forecast to reach 35 million over the same period.

A former Labor frontbencher, Kelvin Thomson, has regularly voiced his concerns about the environmental impact of a more populous Australia.

He said the Bureau of Statistics figures represented a ”recipe for environmental devastation, rising interest rates, and unaffordable housing”.

But KPMG demographer Bernard Salt has played down concerns Australia’s forecast population growth would have on the standard of living in the future.

He told Radio 6PR the nation would be able to cope with 35 million people as long as the necessary adjustments are made.

“We do need to alter our lifestyle plan very carefully for this, because we can’t continue to live the way we are living at the moment,” he said.

“We have changed our lifestyle and we will continue to change (this) to accommodate the bigger population we need to ensure our prosperity and the skills we require.”

If anything, population growth in Australia was slowing, Mr Salt said.

Australia had a population of 12 million in 1970 and had grown by 80 per cent to 22 million today.

Source: http://fw.farmonline.com.au/news/state/agribusiness-and-general/general/leading-demographer-plays-down-population-growth-concerns/1788441.aspx?src=enews

Look at the big picture

Author: HELENA BOGLE

Via: http://www.farmonline.com.au

HYDEN farmer Kent Mouritz said the biggest issues which struck farmers last year were the low grain prices, high input costs and low yields.

Mr Mouritz spoke at the recent crisis meeting held in Kulin.

“We can’t handle all three at once, which was proved last year,” Mr Mouritz said.

“To get out of the crisis, it has to rain, the input costs have to come down and we need an average grain price.”

Mr Mouritz spent $450,000 on fertiliser and chemicals for his 5000 hectare program last year, which was 40 per cent more than usual.

“It was a very poor start to the season and very staggered - there was no real weed germination due to no reasonable rain event,” he said.

“The staggered germination of ryegrass, radish and barley grass made it harder to kill the weeds; therefore we had to spend more money on chemicals.

“The crop only looked very average - the shortage of

moisture restricted crop growth.”

Mr Mouritz said the low rainfall along with falling grain prices produced yields that were 40 to 50pc poorer than what everyone budgeted for.

“We yielded 1.15 tonnes which was below average - we like to budget for about 1.5 tonnes per hectare,” he said.

“Depending on average grain prices, we need to get 1.4t/ha to break even.”

Mr Mouritz said this season banks needed to look at the bigger picture and what had happened over the last 40 years.

“There are a couple of farmers at the meeting that were on the bones of their backside in the early 80’s and because of an interest subsidy, were able to continue,” he said.

“They now have equity in the 75 to 85pc range.

“The banks need to be patient and show a bit of understanding, things will turn around.

“My son Mitch is keen as mustard to take over the farm, but I think it’s important to look at the future, and at the moment I’m not sure if the whole picture will be there.

“No one wants to go to farms where there are no people in the communities.

“There are many emotional problems due to the stress that comes with farming and I don’t even wish to begin to think where that will lead some to.

“The biggest thing is that the communities will collapse, which is beginning to happen at the moment, and that’s really sad.”

Via: http://fw.farmonline.com.au/news/state/agribusiness-and-general/general/look-at-the-big-picture/1787445.aspx?src=enews

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